Tuesday, March 4

I hope it ends tonight

In both Ohio and Texas, as well as RI. Which is not going to happen.

Everyone's been talking about how unfair the media have been, and how much they've favored Obama, and so on. But infact, the Clintons have been the ones who have controlled the media narrative, to the point where respectable news media are parroting the misguided theory that Hillary will mount a "comeback" or become the frontrunner again if she can win in Ohio and Texas tonight.

But even under the most liberal best-case-scenario, the math just isnt there. Imagine if the reverse had been the case, Hillary winning 11 straight contests throughout February, including reliable blue states (Maryland, DC), swing states (Wisconsin) and red states (Louisiana). And was ahead by over 150 pledged delegates. Any attempt by the Obama campaign to draw the line in the sand by claiming that Texas and Ohio would bring them back into it would be laughed off, and rightly so.

In order for Hillary to win enough delegates to catch up to Obama, she needs to win tonight and subsequent contests about 70-30, which simply isnt going to happen. And Hillary and her campaign know this. Which is why they've been trumpeting the BS idea that the media have been so unfair to them, so that any victory tonight could provide a psychological boost.

A narrow victory in both states tonight for Hillary (which is certainly very possible) provides nothing more than a reasonable justification to continue to Pennsylvania (while bypassing the states in between like Wyoming and Mississippi, where Obama has a clear advantage) which does nothing more than continue this protracted battle, which she ultimately has no chance of winning. Rearranging the deck chairs on the Hindenburg, so to speak.

I just hope Obama can win at least one of the two big states tonight and knock Mrs Clinton out once and for all.